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1) The natural instability of markets: expectations, increasing returns, and the collapse of capitalism
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In the rush to open societies to the benefits of competition, economists have overlooked the fundamental instability of competitive markets - what had seemed to be an invincible capitalist juggernaut may be reaching its apotheosis. Michael Perelman argues that capitalism's victory is temporary, based as it is on an unrealistic understanding of the system's inherent risks. He analyzes the nature and causes of crisis within a market society and along...
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"The history of prices is the history of change," writes David Hackett Fischer in this broad sweep of western history from the middle ages to our own time. His primary sources are price records, which are more abundant for the study of historical change than any other type of quantifiable data. Fischer uses these materials to frame a narrative of price-movements in western history from the eleventh century to the present. He finds that prices tended...
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"Every day, in every sector of our economy, a business shuts down while another starts up, jobs are created while others are cut, and workers are hired while others are laid off. This constant flux, or turbulence, is a defining characteristic of our free market system, yet it mostly inspires angst about unemployment, loss of earnings, and the overall competitiveness of corporations. But is this endless cycle of fluctuation really so bad for America?...
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In The Trouble with Prosperity, James Grant tells why the financial good times of the 1990s are destined to collapse. To understand the current bull market, he argues, we must examine a seventy-year cycle of boom and bust. Through the tale of a single building - 40 Wall Street - and other stories, Grant gives us a way of understanding the rise and fall of great fortunes, the vicissitudes of investment strategies, and the colorful personalities who...
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Economic and business uncertainty dominate today's economic analyses. This new Encyclopedia illuminates the subject by offering 327 original articles on every major aspect of business cycles, fluctuations, financial crises, recessions, and depressions. The articles cover a broad range of subjects, including capsule biographies of leading economists born before 1920. The Encyclopedia introduces readers to the principal ideas, concepts, facts, and events...
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This is a concise and and up-to-date survey of business cycles, discussing not only early theories of the business cycle and Keynesian and monetarist models, but also the rational expectationist and new Keynesian models along with actual business cycles. Hall traces the history of business cycles from the panic of 1907 to the long cyclical expansion beginning in late 1982. ISBN 0-275-93085-8: $39.95.
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"The essays contained in this book have been selected from the Global investment review (GIR) of Marathon Asset Management Ltd ..."--Page xix Includes bibliographical references and index. Introduction -- Ch. 1. Capital thoughts -- Ch. 2. The rise of shareholder value -- Ch. 3. The two-tier market -- Ch. 4. Blind capital -- Ch. 5. Fibre-optical illusions -- Ch. 6. The croupier's take -- Ch. 7. Making up the numbers -- Ch. 8. Mismanagement -- Appendix:...
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In this video, futurist Hazel Henderson and Asian Markets Sustainability Analyst Matthew McGarvey review the new challenges that China and other emerging Asian economies pose to Western economies. Western analysts misunderstand the restructuring in China from exports toward domestic goals and shifting from polluting coal to wind, solar and the "circular economy." The new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIG) led by China has attracted members...
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Lars Tvede's story moves back in time to the Scottish gambler and financial genius, John Law, and then on to the distracted Adam Smith, the stockbroker Ricardo, the investment banker Thornton, the extrovert Schumpeter, the speculator Jay Gould and many others. Gradually we reach the computer jugglers of the modern day who, with giant networks of equations, try to solve the same questions that have attracted the attention of classical economists through...
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Chinese foreign economic policy before 1978 has been considered isolationist and centered on Maoist self-reliance. In this revisionist analysis, Lawrence Reardon argues that China was not out of touch with the global marketplace during the 1949--78 period and that Deng Xiaoping's heralded liberalizations were revisions and expansions of policies from the Maoist period. The dramatic economic reforms initiated by China's leaders in 1978 boosted GDP...
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"In Recessions and Depressions Todd Knoop traces the evolution of business cycle theory, from the "classical" model, which preceded the Great Depression, through the ground-breaking ideas of John Maynard Keynes, Milton Friedman, and their followers. He examines the strengths and limitations of each approach, in terms of explaining the impact of such factors as government policy, money supply, labor productivity, and wages. In the process, he presents...
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Two essays discuss the analysis of long economic cycles (Kondratieff, Juglars, and Kitchins) while others explore the relation between technology and economic progress, role of money in price trends and convergence in growth rates among nations. Also examined are the potential of energy investment in restoring United States industrial growth, restructuring the North-South dialogue and incomes policies as part of the "Social Contract."
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